Mahiliou observer asks the National Academy of Sciences to check the theory of probability
Aliaksei Paulouski, a former election observer at
polling station #53 of the Mahiliou-Central election constituency #85,
submitted an appropriate letter to the National Academy of Sciences. The reason
for the address was the data of the election at his polling station which made
him doubt in the theory of probability.
“It is not the first time when I observe elections at this polling station.
This time the commission was formed of new people, that's why the commission
tried to keep to the procedure of vote calculation. Unlike other polling
stations, only several dozens of people voted at my polling station. The votes
from each ballot box were calculated separately, which wasn't done at other
polling stations,” commented Aliaksei Paulouski.
However, when the ballot box for early voting was opened – 880 ballots were
taken out of it, and 560 ballots were taken out of the box for the election
day.
“Naturally, 880 people (60% of the electorate) couldn't vote early. One could
see it by the fact that the ballots were falling out of the box in accurate
batches. As it was found during the poll, during the early voting 680 people
voted in support of the pro-governmental candidate, prosecutor Eduard
Siankevich, 60 – for candidate Kuzmina and the remaining 140 votes were given for
other candidates or “against all”. “However, when the ballots from the election
day were calculated, there were 180 votes for Siankevich and 150 for Kuzmina.
Thus, the ratios in the first and the second instance are 1:10 and 1:1
respectively.”
Here's the paradox: how such a difference can occur at all? Being unable to
solve this miracle on his own, the observer decided to apply to the National
Academy of Sciences for assistance.
“Human Rights Defenders for Free Elections”
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